In a little more than a month, we will know which ten outpatient prescription drugs will be subject to Medicare price negotiation under the Inflation Reduction Act in 2025. (That’s if the pharmaceutical companies do not prevail in their lawsuits aimed at stopping Medicare drug price negotiation.) The drugs whose prices will be negotiated will be those, covered under Medicare Part D, that are costing Medicare the most.
In 2026, Medicare will negotiate prices for 10 additional drugs. In 2027, Medicare will negotiate prices for 15 additional Part D drugs. In 2028, Medicare will negotiate prices for yet another 15 Part D drugs.
Beginning in 2029, Medicare will negotiate prices for 20 drugs covered under Part D and Part B, which covers inpatient drugs. Under the law, Medicare can only negotiate the prices of single-source brand-name drugs, which have been on the market for at least seven years, or biologics that do not have biosimilar options, which have been on the market for at least 11 years.
A small number of drugs are responsible for a significant portion of Part D prescription drug spending. Medicare spent $48 billion on the ten drugs with the highest spending in 2021. Half of those drugs are treatments for diabetes: Trulicity, Januvia, Jardiance, Lantus Solostar, and Ozempic. The other half include Imbruvica, a cancer treatment and Humira Citrate-free (Cf) pen, a treatment for rheumatoid arthritis.
Prescription drug prices are soaring, especially for the drugs that Medicare is spending the most on. In the three years between 2018 and 2021, the price of these ten drugs more than doubled. Spending jumped from $22 billion to $48 billion. Total Medicare Part D spending rose from $166 billion to $216 billion.
Twenty-two percent of Medicare Part D spending results from just ten drugs out of a total of 3,500 (0.3 percent) that Medicare covers under Part D. Sixty-one percent of total spending results from just 100 drugs (3 percent of covered drugs).
In 2021, Medicare spent $2.6 billion on Ozempic, to treat diabetes for 500,000 Medicare patients, $5 billion on Revlimid, to treat multiple myeloma, and $12.6 billion on Eliquis, a blood thinner.
Not all of these drugs will be eligible for drug price negotiation: Ozempic, Revlimid, Humira and Lantus are not eligible. Ozempic has not been on the market long enough and the other three have biosimilars.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that, as a result of drug price negotiation, Medicare will save $100 billion on prescription drugs costs in the five years beginning in 2026. That’s a beginning, but hardly enough. If Congress would only permit prescription drug importation from verified pharmacies abroad, it would help drive down drug prices considerably.
Here’s more from Just Care:
- Case study: Costco saves one couple hundreds of dollars over Medicare Part D
- New study finds you can’t meaningfully choose among Medicare Advantage plans
- Senator Sanders wants a commitment from President Biden to lower drug prices
- Merck sues Medicare over negotiated drug prices
- The deadly consequences of out-of-pocket drug costs