It is looking as if 2023 will bring some good news to the vast majority of people who rely on Social Security for all or a significant share of their retirement income. Paul Brandi reports for Marketwatch.com that Social Security benefits should increase by 9 percent or so in 2023. For a change, the increase in benefits–a monthly average of about $150–should cover people’s increased costs.
This year, the Social Security benefit increase was 5.9 percent. That was big, bigger than in a very long time. But, it was not big enough, since inflation turned out to be significantly higher than the increase. Consequently, Social Security recipients ended up with about 3 percent less, from an inflation-adjusted perspective, than they received the prior year.
Social Security increases are pegged to general cost of living increases, which usually are lower than cost of living increases for older adults. Older adults tend to spend a lot more on health care, and health care prices tend to rise more quickly than prices for other basic goods. As of now, however, likely because of negotiated rates pre-inflation, health care costs have not risen as much as other market basket items.
If you are still working and claiming Social Security or plan to start working again, the high inflation rate should help you a little. Social Security benefits are withheld for people who earn more than a certain amount. Because inflation is high, the amount you can earn without affecting your Social Security benefits is rising appreciably. In other words, you can earn more without losing Social Security income.
It’s also possible that if the Federal Reserve increases interest rates, inflation will come down some. If that happens after the Social Security Trustees lock in the increase in benefits for people receiving Social Security, they will end up ahead. But, if inflation comes down in August and September, the Social Security increase will also come down. The Social Security Administration calculates the increase based on the average of July, August and September inflation numbers.
Congress still needs to address the need for higher Social Security benefits and for strengthening the Social Security Trust Fund, which is now scheduled to pay out more than it has, beginning in 2034.
Here’s more from Just Care:
- Expand Social Security, don’t means test it
- Poll: More than 75 percent of Americans support strengthening Social Security
- A bear market is jeopardizing people’s retirement security
- 2022: Programs that lower your health care costs if you have Medicare
- Nearly 100 million Americans are now struggling to afford healthcare
Leave a Reply