For as long as I can recall, Americans have ranked well below dozens of other countries on life expectancy. We are also more likely to die as a result of gun killings, drug overdoses and automobile accidents than people in other wealthy nations. And, we have a 50 percent greater rate of obesity than Europeans. In a piece for The Atlantic, Derek Thompson refers to the US as a “rich death trap.”
Still, Thompson notes that we have seen some good news in the health department. Last year, three percent fewer people died of a drug overdose. Automobile accidents fell, even though people drove more. The US obesity rate fell one point six percent. And, murder rates across the nation fell.
This is a first in a while. Perhaps the best data we have seen in decades. Though it’s not clear that these rates continue to decline, because the data lags by a bit, it’s also not clear why these rates are down.
With regard to overdose death declines, declines are large and focused on the East. Were these declines the product of good policy? The explanation could simply be that more people who would have died somewhat later, died during the Covid pandemic. Or, it could be that street fentanyl is not as strong as it has been.
Ozempic and Mounjaro could be in part responsible for the decline in the rate of obesity. One in 16 Americans reportedly are now taking one of these appetite-suppressing drugs. Or, perhaps, we have reached the limit of Americans who could be obese.
Violent crime has also dropped for reasons that are not fully understood. Some think that public outrage at the police for their conduct reduced police activity, causing more violent crime. But, as police activity increased, violence fell. Another theory is that as the Covid pandemic was ending, violent crime fell when the school year began.
How could public policy have contributed to these declining rates? It’s possible that the American Rescue Plan, which delivered hundreds of billions of dollars to states and cities, enabled local governments to boost law enforcement activities, which kept violent crime and dangerous driving at bay.
Where do we go from here? If you ask Elon Musk, counselor to the incoming president, “Nothing would do more to improve the health, lifespan and quality of life for Americans than making GLP inhibitors super low cost to the public.” RFK Jr. argues that lifestyle is what drives better health, not technology. It’s all about our behaviors–getting people to eat healthily and exercise.
Many Republican policymakers in Congress do not support Medicare coverage of weight-loss drugs. And, the Republicans in Congress are poised to cut Medicaid significantly. It’s hard to believe that we will continue to see health improvements over the next four years.
Here’s more from Just Care: