About 40 percent of people who will lose their Medicaid coverage, should be able to get other coverage. Around seven million of them should be able to get coverage through their employers or state health insurance exchange plans. The rest are most likely going to end up without any health insurance.

Outreach and education are needed to help people with Medicaid during the redetermination process so that they remain covered if they are eligible. The Commonwealth Fund reports that 45 percent of those who are Medicaid eligible will lose their coverage. They will be disenrolled for “administrative reasons.” If they are not eligible, they need to understand how to sign up for a state health insurance exchange plan.

People with Medicaid living in the 11 states that have not expanded Medicaid eligibility are at particular risk. They are likely to have income over the Medicaid eligibility limit but under the threshold needed to get subsidies for coverage through the state health insurance exchange. Federal subsidies are available for people earning at or above 100 percent of the federal poverty level, $14,580 for a single person. Adults without children are also not eligible for Medicaid in these 11 states even if they qualify based on their income.

It will be interesting to see how the health insurers covering people with Medicaid respond to this crisis. Hospitals likely will get hit hard as patients won’t be able to pay their bills.